New primary poll finds DeSantis has edge over Trump in 2024

New primary poll finds DeSantis has edge over Trump in 2024

A new national poll gives Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis a 7-point edge over former President Donald Trump in a potential presidential primary battle, the first survey of the 2024 cycle to do so — and the first poll since February 2016 to point to a weakening of Trump’s GOP dominance.

The YouGov poll, released Friday, found that 42% of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents prefer DeSantis over Trump as the party’s 2024 standard-bearer, while 35% of those surveyed remain in the 45th president’s corner.

The results were a reversal of the numbers that YouGov found in October, three weeks before the midterm elections.

Poll results
The new results were different than what YouGov found before the midterms.

Last month, YouGov found that 45% of GOP partisans supported Trump’s third White House bid, with 35% opting for the Florida governor, who romped to a 19-point re-election victory — while prominent Trump-supported Republicans went down to disappointing defeats.

The Nov. 9-11 online poll of 1,500 Americans, conducted in the three days after Tuesday’s midterm elections, included 413 self-identified Republicans and GOP leaners. The overall sample had a 3% margin of error.

Former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in support of the campaign of Ohio Senate candidate JD Vance at Wright Bros. Aero Inc. at Dayton International Airport on Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Vandalia, Ohio.
Former President Donald Trump lags behind Gov. Ron DeSantis in the recent poll.
AP Photo/Michael Conroy

A Feb. 16, 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll that found Texas Sen. Ted Cruz with a 2-point lead over Trump was the last time any national survey gave another Republican the first-place slot in a primary poll, according to RealClearPolitics.

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